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Relegation Watch

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Author Topic: Relegation Watch  (Read 107501 times)
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Glastonbury Cobbler
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« Reply #1300 on: April 21, 2018, 06:55:40 am »

Please give me examples of abuse I have offered others? Say since Jan 2018?

Do you want them broken down in daily or hourly examples??

😂
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« Reply #1301 on: April 21, 2018, 08:50:07 am »

Experimental 3-6-1 website includes a great visualisation of what's still possible.

https://experimental361.com/2018/04/17/whats-still-possible-17-april-2018/



Mathematically we could still get to 16th, but the probability of avoiding relegation is becoming difficult to see with the naked eye.

Incredible that there are still six teams who *could* still be either promoted or relegated!
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Snow Dive Larry
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« Reply #1302 on: April 21, 2018, 16:44:46 pm »

Right, next up Oldham at home to Southend on Tuesday night...another mid-week nerve fest!
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« Reply #1303 on: April 21, 2018, 16:48:18 pm »

Couldn't have asked for a better set of results today really!!
Oxford made themselves safe with victory at Doncaster so fall off our stats....Bury are gone and MK look set to join them....two from five for the last places in the basement.


After todays games......
    
18. Wombles 50*   (-11)   A v Wigan, A v Doncaster, H v Bury  
19. Walsall  48*  ( -12)     H v Cobblers, A v Bradford, A v Fleetwood
20. Oldham 47*  (-14)      H v Southend, H v Doncaster, A v Cobblers  
----------------------------------------------------------------------------
21. Rochdale 47 * (-8)      H v Plymouth, A v Oxford, H v Charlton  
22. Cobblers 46    (-33)    A v Walsall, H v Oldham  
23. Dongs 42 *      (-23)   A v Bradford, H v Scunny, A v Shrewsbury    
24. Bury 32           (-31)   H v Portsmouth, A v AFC Wimbledon  

(GD in brackets)

* = games in hand

Coming up......

Tuesday 24th

Bradford City  v  MK DONS
OLDHAM ATHLETIC  v  Southend United
ROCHDALE  v  Plymouth Argyle

Saturday 28th

MK DONS  v  Scunnythorpe United
OLDHAM ATHLETIC  v  Doncaster Rovers
Oxford United  v  ROCHDALE
WALSALL  v  NORTHAMPTON TOWN
Wigan Athletic  v  AFC WIMBLEDON
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singcobb
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« Reply #1304 on: April 21, 2018, 16:50:41 pm »

Is it time to start believing yet?
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« Reply #1305 on: April 21, 2018, 16:55:19 pm »

Is it time to start believing yet?

Think the Dons are gone......i'll believe after Tuesday should Rochdale and Oldham not win their games in hand. Rochdale at home to Plymouth worries me...the Pilgrims looked dross today!
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Snow Dive Larry
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« Reply #1306 on: April 21, 2018, 16:57:20 pm »

I like to think of it that surely Plymouth can't be as bad as that again. At this stage I'd even take Rochdale drawing that one to keep them well in the mix.
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« Reply #1307 on: April 21, 2018, 16:58:48 pm »

If MK, Dale and Oldham win Tuesday we're pretty much down..
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For goodness sake Doc we are NOT going down  Grin   you heard it here 1st  Wink

(I damn well hope that does not come back to haunt me)
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« Reply #1308 on: April 21, 2018, 17:47:11 pm »

I think us and Dale will be replaced by Oldham and Walsall. Dale are a sure bet to stay up and I think there is a flicker of belief in the team and the fans that we can do this. It is going to go to the last game, but we will win it with a JJOT 93rd minute winner.
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« Reply #1309 on: April 21, 2018, 18:41:25 pm »

Amended as table above, Oldham actually have 48 points.

If we beat Walsall and Oldham then to finish above us:

Rochdale need five points from three games
Oldham need four points from two games .
Walsall need four points from two games .... Both away
Wimbledon need two points from three games
Dongs cannot overtake us

We can still do this !
« Last Edit: April 24, 2018, 08:44:26 am by Macc Cobbler » Report Spam   Logged
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« Reply #1310 on: April 21, 2018, 19:03:30 pm »

Do you want them broken down in daily or hourly examples??

😂

Don't play evasive games, you made an accusation so just supply the proof. You seem very confident. Its just a cut and paste job. I will give you a starter; have exchanged pleasantries with Dr Feelgood. In fact to make it even easier just concentrate from March '18 onward.
Best of luck Roll Eyes
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« Reply #1311 on: April 21, 2018, 19:04:21 pm »

Our route to survival is simple.

1. We win our last 2 games.
2. Hope that either Walsall or Oldham lose one of there other 2 games.

OR…

We win our last 2 games…and hope that Rochdale or Wimbledon implode!

i don't know what the odds on us surviving are but Id say its gone from 1% before Bury to 3% after Bury to 5% after Tuesdays games to 20% at this point in time!

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« Reply #1312 on: April 21, 2018, 19:15:57 pm »

Let's hope that Southend take their form from today into tuesday's match with Oldham and pray that Plymouth get a rocket from Adams and that Ryan Taylor is back fit against Rochdale.
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« Reply #1313 on: April 21, 2018, 19:27:53 pm »

If (and it's a big if) we win out two the rest will take care of itself!
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« Reply #1314 on: April 21, 2018, 19:45:50 pm »

The draws today for AFCW and Dale keep them in the mix.

The bad thing is that it is out of our hands but if some results go our way and we win our last two we have a chance
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« Reply #1315 on: April 21, 2018, 20:08:40 pm »

When is the last time we won 4 on the trot?
How incredible it would be, totally erasing the nightmare of Dumb and Dumber.
If we come close it’ll make the nightmare seem worse.
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« Reply #1316 on: April 21, 2018, 20:18:38 pm »

When is the last time we won 4 on the trot?
How incredible it would be, totally erasing the nightmare of Dumb and Dumber.
If we come close it’ll make the nightmare seem worse.

It's the hope that kills you.
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« Reply #1317 on: April 21, 2018, 22:04:32 pm »

People are thinking that Rochdale are pretty much a given to stay up.

I'll probably (and maybe rightly) get shot down for saying this but I think I'd rather our two remaining games against two teams that we could overtake than Rochdale's THREE tricky remaining games (H v Plymouth, A v Oxford, H v Charlton).
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« Reply #1318 on: April 22, 2018, 07:13:08 am »

Two weeks ago we were dead and buried. Now there is real belief that we can actually do this. I didn’t go to Bury but that sounded like a slightly fortuitous win perhaps? Today however was a real committed, passionate, positive performance with a deserved 3 points that if we can replicate for two more games gives us the edge. You would think however that Walsall, Oldham and Dale would be trying to do the same. Walsall perhaps are sleepwalking to relegation having not really been in the mix all season. Oldham and Dale have been down there all season and are dropping points with plenty of draws recently. We need to win both games although 4 points may be enough? If the worst happens on Tuesday then we are back to needing two wins. That would still leave Oldham/Walsall needing something from their other remaining game each. So whatever happens this midweek let’s all get to Walsall and give them a fright like we gave Plymouth today.
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« Reply #1319 on: April 22, 2018, 08:12:19 am »

If we beat Walsall and Oldham then to finish above us:

Rochdale need five points from three games
Oldham need five points from two games .... So two wins
Walsall need four points from two games .... Both away
Wimbledon need two points from three games
Dongs cannot overtake us

We can still do this !


Oldham would actually need four (not five) points - so a win and a draw...

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