This really isn't that hard to understand, where a team is now or when we play them is irrelevant.
If you look at the table at the end of the year we will be more likely to have beaten the teams that finished bellow us than those who finished above us.
He is not claiming to be mystic Meg, he is just pointing out that on average that will be the case. All this talk of betting came after everyone challenged this point.
That's fine, but he shouldn't be saying 0 points from 4 teams in the top half of the table then because what matters is the table
at the end of the season. and not the table on 15.09.17.