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Stats - Easier Games to come

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Author Topic: Stats - Easier Games to come  (Read 24339 times)
« Reply #940 on: February 08, 2018, 17:23:37 pm »

Ok then.
In terms of upward improving trends.
We have had 2 winning league runs of 3 victories, one against Gills(a) Blackpool(h) and oxford(a), and then one against Southend(h) Bradford(a) and Donkeys(h).
Chuck a draw with Rochdale(a) and Blackburn(a) on those runs respectively, and you get our two longest leage runs of four without deafeat.
Five of those games were played away and three were played at home
Four games(3wins) were against C78s current so called harder opponents, and four games(3wins) against his easier opponents.
If you can find a pattern in those figures alone, I applaud you.

Regarding injuries, suspensions, transfer windows etc that's surely for another thread because the OP has constantly expressed a desire to keep this as simple as possible, unless it suits his argument otherwise of course.
So since his first post suggested easier games were coming, the simplest analysis shows we currently average 1.08ppm from league matches played since then, compared to 1ppm from league matches up to then.

I don't think there is a patten to be unearthed. People forget there is a massive element of luck in an individual game which makes it all the more entertaining. After all how many other games can you win by just scoring one point?
My point is whether it's better to back a team higher in the league that's gone off the boil (think Chelsea) or a lower team that hit a run of recent form (Swansea springs to mind).
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