guest47
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Last five or six is the most widely used format for "recent form". The clue is in the word "form". It's used across all sports. It's widely recognised as a more reliable means of predicting outcomes as it it based on recent events.
C78s formula totally ignores it and uses a static view of a table. Using his formula a team could win 10 on the trot to attain a "hard" rating but then be on a 6 match losing slump and still be a hard game when in reality, they could have no manager and be fielding a youth team due to injuries. His formula also fails to fix the points gained at a point in time, so you can win a "hard" game but then lose those points if three weeks later the team you beat drops into the bottom half and become an "easy" game.
Sorry, but if those two factors alone aren't enough to devalue his formula then I don't know what is...
I hate to be the person to trot this one out but as Bill Shankley said "Form is temporary, class is permanent" I'll give you that 12 games is a bit long to judge form but the last two games would be significant to some. My point is that by using arbitrary lengths of time or numbers of games you can exaggerate any apparent form.
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Shoemaker
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Please indulge me and in a sentence if possible, what is Cobbler78’s system?
A flawed one.
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Cobbler78
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Then that proves what little you know about the game.
Oldham are currently a harder game than Scunny. Look at the results both of their last 5 games. Oldham are undefeated and have gained 11pts to Scunny's 4.
Still if you genuinely believe that despite all the evidence, only the main table counts, then I don't need to call you a fool do I.
Anyone know the result of Oldham vs Sc***horpe today? Asking for a friend.
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Benji
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Anyone know the result of Oldham vs Sc***horpe today? Asking for a friend.
and the Shrewsbury result?
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Cobbler78
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and the Shrewsbury result?
Irrelevant as nobody made an example of that game. Unless you’re confusing Plymouth with Peterborough, which is quite possible as they both start with a big P.
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Cobbler78
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Update after Blackpool win. Still 0pts Vs top 10 teams
Vs top half 4 from 8 (proj 12) Vs bottom half 11 from 8 (proj 30) Projection 42pts = Relegation
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Glastonbury Cobbler
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Irrelevant as nobody made an example of that game. Unless you’re confusing Plymouth with Peterborough, which is quite possible as they both start with a big P.
Very relevant as it shows your system is s*** and is totally flawed!!! Will the mods please now lock this thread to stop the bulls*** continuing!!!
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Glastonbury Cobbler
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Update after Blackpool win. Still 0pts Vs top 10 teams
Vs top half 4 from 8 (proj 12) Vs bottom half 11 from 8 (proj 30) Projection 42pts = Relegation
Your projection has increase by 11 points off the back of one result!!! Your so comical!!!
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Cobbler78
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Very relevant as it shows your system is **** and is totally flawed!!!
Will the mods please now lock this thread to stop the bulls*** continuing!!!
Just because you don’t understand or are over complicating things doesn’t make it flawed. If you don’t like the thread, ignore it, or is that also too complicated for you? The fact you constantly bleat about closing it, says to me you can see you are being proved wrong and it’s making you look a bit of a buffoon.
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Cobbler78
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Your projection has increase by 11 points off the back of one result!!! Your so comical!!!
1) Yes it has, that’s what projections do you utter berk!! 2) It’s “you’re”
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Glastonbury Cobbler
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Just because you don’t understand or are over complicating things doesn’t make it flawed. If you don’t like the thread, ignore it, or is that also too complicated for you? The fact you constantly bleat about closing it, says to me you can see you are being proved wrong and it’s making you look a bit of a buffoon.
HaHa as soon as your "theory" breaks down that result is irrelevant haha what an utter idiot you are my friend!!
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Wolvo
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Your projection has increase by 11 points off the back of one result!!! Your so comical!!!
Not sure if trolling or not. But this is expected at this early stage of the season... Towards the back end of the season the projection will inevitably vary much less and be very accurate to the end calculation.
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Pink Army!
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Cobbler78
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HaHa as soon as your "theory" breaks down that result is irrelevant haha what an utter idiot you are my friend!!
Some simple steps for you 1) Find a dictionary 2) Look up “Probability” 3) Ask an adult to read the definition to you 4) Then ask the same adult to explain what they said in smaller words.
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Glastonbury Cobbler
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Some simple steps for you
1) Find a dictionary 2) Look up “Probability” 3) Ask an adult to read the definition to you 4) Then ask the same adult to explain what they said in smaller words.
Probability is dependant on variables, something your "theory" totally disregards!
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Cobbler78
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Probability is dependant on variables, something your "theory" totally disregards!
What do you see as my “theory”? You’re definitely over complicating things.
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BedsCobb
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Harder games are the ones against ... Well established larger towns showing professionalism in running clubs gaining extra support through civic pride.. Portsmouth wigan Bradford oxford etc. Or the well run smaller towns who have rich benefactors Sc***horpe fleetwood. The easier games are usually against those clubs like us who just bounce along on the bones of our arses making up the numbers with no direction, no growth plans and generating little in the way of civic pride due to being an insignificant part of something bigger to outside controlling bodies. Hope that clears it up any confusion as to what makes easier opponents .
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Benji
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Harder games are the ones against ... Well established larger towns showing professionalism in running clubs gaining extra support through civic pride.. Portsmouth wigan Bradford oxford etc. Or the well run smaller towns who have rich benefactors Sc***horpe fleetwood. The easier games are usually against those clubs like us who just bounce along on the bones of our arses making up the numbers with no direction, no growth plans and generating little in the way of civic pride due to being an insignificant part of something bigger to outside controlling bodies. Hope that clears it up any confusion as to what makes easier opponents .
Sheffield United were a massively big and underachieving team in league 1, they are now top of the championship, it's got nothing to do with the running of the club and entirely down to a Sheffield United supporting manager who threw himself at the club. The board who'd made a string of appointments that had been a disaster just got lucky.
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Dr Feelgood
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Cobb78's jigsaw is starting to lose pieces...This was a harder game but we won meanwhile the Wombles was easier and we lost..
This thread needs to be flushed its clogging up the sh1tter
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For goodness sake Doc we are NOT going down you heard it here 1st (I damn well hope that does not come back to haunt me)
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Cobbler78
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Cobb78's jigsaw is starting to lose pieces...This was a harder game but we won meanwhile the Wombles was easier and we lost..
This thread needs to be flushed its clogging up the sh1tter
Seriously? What is confusing you? All I am doing is stating facts. We have now played an equal split of teams from the league, we are where we are. Nothing more, nothing less.
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Glastonbury Cobbler
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Cobb78's jigsaw is starting to lose pieces...This was a harder game but we won meanwhile the Wombles was easier and we lost..
This thread needs to be flushed its clogging up the sh1tter
+1
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