The Hotel End
March 28, 2024, 11:38:31 am
Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?

Login with username, password and session length
News:
 
  Home Help Search Arcade Downloads Gallery Links Staff List Calendar Login Register Chat  

Stats - Easier Games to come

Pages: 1 ... 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 [21] 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 ... 57   Go Down
  Print  
Author Topic: Stats - Easier Games to come  (Read 64614 times)
0 Members and 1 Guest are viewing this topic.
guest47
Guest

Badges: (View All)
« Reply #400 on: October 27, 2017, 14:41:07 pm »

Last five or six is the most widely used format for "recent form". The clue is in the word "form". It's used across all sports. It's widely recognised as a more reliable means of predicting outcomes as it it based on recent events.

C78s formula totally ignores it and uses a static view of a table. Using his formula a team could win 10 on the trot to attain a "hard" rating but then be on a 6 match losing slump and still be a hard game when in reality, they could have no manager and be fielding a youth team due to injuries. His formula also fails to fix the points gained at a point in time, so you can win a "hard" game but then lose those points if three weeks later the team you beat drops into the bottom half and become an "easy" game.

Sorry, but if those two factors alone aren't enough to devalue his formula then I don't know what is...


I hate to be the person to trot this one out but as Bill Shankley said "Form is temporary, class is permanent"
I'll give you that 12 games is a bit long to judge form but the last two games would be significant to some. My point is that by using arbitrary lengths of time or numbers of games you can exaggerate any apparent form.
Report Spam   Logged
Shoemaker
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Posts: 6889


View Profile
Badges: (View All)
Combination Topic Starter Poll Voter
« Reply #401 on: October 28, 2017, 11:20:28 am »

Please indulge me and in a sentence if possible, what is Cobbler78’s system?
A flawed one.
Report Spam   Logged
Cobbler78
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Posts: 3036


View Profile
Badges: (View All)
« Reply #402 on: October 28, 2017, 15:57:32 pm »

Then that proves what little you know about the game.

Oldham are currently a harder game than Scunny. Look at the results both of their last 5 games. Oldham are undefeated and have gained 11pts to Scunny's 4.

Still if you genuinely believe that despite all the evidence, only the main table counts, then I don't need to call you a fool do I.

Anyone know the result of Oldham vs Sc***horpe today? Asking for a friend.
Report Spam   Logged
Benji
Sr. Member
****
Offline Offline

Posts: 283


View Profile
Badges: (View All)
« Reply #403 on: October 28, 2017, 16:01:22 pm »

Anyone know the result of Oldham vs Sc***horpe today? Asking for a friend.
and the Shrewsbury result?
Report Spam   Logged
Cobbler78
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Posts: 3036


View Profile
Badges: (View All)
« Reply #404 on: October 28, 2017, 16:05:38 pm »

and the Shrewsbury result?

Irrelevant as nobody made an example of that game. Unless you’re confusing Plymouth with Peterborough, which is quite possible as they both start with a big P.
Report Spam   Logged
Cobbler78
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Posts: 3036


View Profile
Badges: (View All)
« Reply #405 on: October 28, 2017, 16:10:14 pm »

Update after Blackpool win. Still 0pts Vs top 10 teams

Vs top half 4 from 8 (proj 12)
Vs bottom half 11 from 8 (proj 30)
Projection 42pts = Relegation
Report Spam   Logged
Glastonbury Cobbler
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Posts: 2500


View Profile
Badges: (View All)
2500 Posts Windows User Combination
« Reply #406 on: October 28, 2017, 16:15:25 pm »

Irrelevant as nobody made an example of that game. Unless you’re confusing Plymouth with Peterborough, which is quite possible as they both start with a big P.

Very relevant as it shows your system is s*** and is totally flawed!!!

Will the mods please now lock this thread to stop the bulls*** continuing!!!
Report Spam   Logged
Glastonbury Cobbler
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Posts: 2500


View Profile
Badges: (View All)
2500 Posts Windows User Combination
« Reply #407 on: October 28, 2017, 16:17:43 pm »

Update after Blackpool win. Still 0pts Vs top 10 teams

Vs top half 4 from 8 (proj 12)
Vs bottom half 11 from 8 (proj 30)
Projection 42pts = Relegation

Your projection has increase by 11 points off the back of one result!!! Your so comical!!!
Report Spam   Logged
Cobbler78
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Posts: 3036


View Profile
Badges: (View All)
« Reply #408 on: October 28, 2017, 16:19:21 pm »

Very relevant as it shows your system is **** and is totally flawed!!!

Will the mods please now lock this thread to stop the bulls*** continuing!!!

Just because you don’t understand or are over complicating things doesn’t make it flawed. If you don’t like the thread, ignore it, or is that also too complicated for you? The fact you constantly bleat about closing it, says to me you can see you are being proved wrong and it’s making you look a bit of a buffoon.
Report Spam   Logged
Cobbler78
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Posts: 3036


View Profile
Badges: (View All)
« Reply #409 on: October 28, 2017, 16:21:05 pm »

Your projection has increase by 11 points off the back of one result!!! Your so comical!!!

1) Yes it has, that’s what projections do you utter berk!!
2) It’s “you’re”
Report Spam   Logged
Glastonbury Cobbler
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Posts: 2500


View Profile
Badges: (View All)
2500 Posts Windows User Combination
« Reply #410 on: October 28, 2017, 16:24:38 pm »

Just because you don’t understand or are over complicating things doesn’t make it flawed. If you don’t like the thread, ignore it, or is that also too complicated for you? The fact you constantly bleat about closing it, says to me you can see you are being proved wrong and it’s making you look a bit of a buffoon.

HaHa as soon as your "theory" breaks down that result is irrelevant haha what an utter idiot you are my friend!!
Report Spam   Logged
Wolvo
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Posts: 3508


View Profile
Badges: (View All)
« Reply #411 on: October 28, 2017, 16:28:49 pm »

Your projection has increase by 11 points off the back of one result!!! Your so comical!!!

Not sure if trolling or not. But this is expected at this early stage of the season... Towards the back end of the season the projection will inevitably vary much less and be very accurate to the end calculation.
Report Spam   Logged

Pink Army!
Cobbler78
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Posts: 3036


View Profile
Badges: (View All)
« Reply #412 on: October 28, 2017, 16:29:06 pm »

HaHa as soon as your "theory" breaks down that result is irrelevant haha what an utter idiot you are my friend!!

Some simple steps for you

1) Find a dictionary
2) Look up “Probability”
3) Ask an adult to read the definition to you
4) Then ask the same adult to explain what they said in smaller words.
Report Spam   Logged
Glastonbury Cobbler
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Posts: 2500


View Profile
Badges: (View All)
2500 Posts Windows User Combination
« Reply #413 on: October 28, 2017, 16:52:47 pm »

Some simple steps for you

1) Find a dictionary
2) Look up “Probability”
3) Ask an adult to read the definition to you
4) Then ask the same adult to explain what they said in smaller words.

Probability is dependant on variables, something your "theory" totally disregards!
Report Spam   Logged
Cobbler78
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Posts: 3036


View Profile
Badges: (View All)
« Reply #414 on: October 28, 2017, 16:59:37 pm »

Probability is dependant on variables, something your "theory" totally disregards!

What do you see as my “theory”? You’re definitely over complicating things.
Report Spam   Logged
BedsCobb
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Posts: 3343


View Profile
Badges: (View All)
Eighth year Anniversary Combination Topic Starter
« Reply #415 on: October 28, 2017, 17:00:53 pm »

Harder games are the ones against ... Well established larger towns showing professionalism in running clubs gaining extra support through civic pride.. Portsmouth wigan Bradford oxford etc.
Or the well run smaller towns who have rich benefactors Sc***horpe fleetwood.
The easier games are usually against those clubs like us who just bounce along on the bones of our arses  making up the numbers with no direction, no growth plans and generating little in the way of civic pride due to being an insignificant part of something bigger to outside controlling bodies.
Hope that clears it up any confusion as to what makes easier opponents .
Report Spam   Logged
Benji
Sr. Member
****
Offline Offline

Posts: 283


View Profile
Badges: (View All)
« Reply #416 on: October 28, 2017, 17:14:06 pm »

Harder games are the ones against ... Well established larger towns showing professionalism in running clubs gaining extra support through civic pride.. Portsmouth wigan Bradford oxford etc.
Or the well run smaller towns who have rich benefactors Sc***horpe fleetwood.
The easier games are usually against those clubs like us who just bounce along on the bones of our arses  making up the numbers with no direction, no growth plans and generating little in the way of civic pride due to being an insignificant part of something bigger to outside controlling bodies.
Hope that clears it up any confusion as to what makes easier opponents .
Sheffield United were a massively big and underachieving team in league 1, they are now top of the championship, it's got nothing to do with the running of the club and entirely down to a Sheffield United supporting manager who threw himself at the club. The board who'd made a string of appointments that had been a disaster just got lucky.
Report Spam   Logged
Dr Feelgood
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Posts: 12333



View Profile
Badges: (View All)
Level 6 Linux User Mobile User
« Reply #417 on: October 28, 2017, 17:47:03 pm »

Cobb78's jigsaw is starting to lose pieces...This was a harder game but we won meanwhile the Wombles was easier and we lost..

This thread needs to be flushed its clogging up the sh1tter
Report Spam   Logged

For goodness sake Doc we are NOT going down  Grin   you heard it here 1st  Wink

(I damn well hope that does not come back to haunt me)
Cobbler78
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Posts: 3036


View Profile
Badges: (View All)
« Reply #418 on: October 28, 2017, 17:50:18 pm »

Cobb78's jigsaw is starting to lose pieces...This was a harder game but we won meanwhile the Wombles was easier and we lost..

This thread needs to be flushed its clogging up the sh1tter

Seriously? What is confusing you? All I am doing is stating facts. We have now played an equal split of teams from the league, we are where we are. Nothing more, nothing less.
Report Spam   Logged
Glastonbury Cobbler
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Posts: 2500


View Profile
Badges: (View All)
2500 Posts Windows User Combination
« Reply #419 on: October 28, 2017, 18:17:29 pm »

Cobb78's jigsaw is starting to lose pieces...This was a harder game but we won meanwhile the Wombles was easier and we lost..

This thread needs to be flushed its clogging up the sh1tter

+1
Report Spam   Logged
Pages: 1 ... 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 [21] 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 ... 57   Go Up
  Print  
 
Jump to:  

Powered by EzPortal
Parental guidance is urged as this messageboard may not be suitable for all persons especially those under the age of 16 as the forums may contain words, phrases and expressions not considered appropriate for a younger audience so please express caution. If any posts in the forums offend you, please let us know and we will look at them and if we agree with your complaint, we will remove them. You are personally responsible and potentially liable for the contents of your posting and may be sued should your posting contain content of a defamatory or other illegal nature. Every message posted leaves a traceable IP number. We check the forums at various times of the day and remove offending posts. Other supporters are welcome but abusive or silly posts will be removed and the offenders potentially barred from future access to the site. We advise that you never reveal any personal information about yourself or anyone else (for example: telephone number, home address or email address), and please do not include postal addresses of any kind. This messageboard is not endorsed or in any way affiliated with Northampton Town FC. All postings on this board become copyright of The Hotel End & may not be reproduced without the permission of the board administrator. By signing up to this message board you agree to this. The Hotel End cannot be held liable for the actions or postings of its members. The Hotel End reserve the right to edit, delete, move or close any thread for any reason. The Hotel End may disclose user information to government authorities at their discretion or when required by law. The Hotel End may also disclose user information when The Hotel End has reason to believe that someone is causing injury to or interference with its rights or property, other The Hotel End users, or anyone else that could be harmed by such activities. By registering for The Hotel End, you agree to indemnify The Hotel End its representatives, and agents, and hold them harmless from any and all claims (including claims for legal fees) which may arise from your participation on the The Hotel End. You also agree that The Hotel End is not responsible for the materials posted by users of The Hotel End. In addition, you grant The Hotel End and its affiliates, worldwide, royalty-free perpetual, irrevocable, non-exclusive right and license to use, reproduce, modify, adapt, publish, translate, create derivative works from, distribute, perform and display any message or content posted on The Hotel End and/or e-mail sent by you to The Hotel End (in whole or in part). The Hotel End reserves the right to make the rules up as it goes along. Thank you - The Hotel End I love Quidco
Bookmark this site!
Powered by SMF | SMF © 2016, Simple Machines
Privacy Policy