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Stats - Easier Games to come

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Author Topic: Stats - Easier Games to come  (Read 66018 times)
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threeinabed
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« Reply #420 on: October 28, 2017, 18:36:10 pm »

Seriously? What is confusing you? All I am doing is stating facts. We have now played an equal split of teams from the league, we are where we are. Nothing more, nothing less.

When we played Blackpool they were 9th. Therefore a harder game.
You're an absolute f***ing prick.

Facts.
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Cobbler78
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« Reply #421 on: October 28, 2017, 18:46:53 pm »

When we played Blackpool they were 9th. Therefore a harder game.
You're an absolute **** prick.

Facts.

Great result wasn’t it, what’s your point?
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WasRambo
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« Reply #422 on: October 28, 2017, 18:50:38 pm »

Don't close the thread. Clinical psychologists up and down the country have C78 as a case study and statisticians everywhere are using his theory as an example of how not to calculate probability...

As the previous poster said, this was a harder game as Blackpool were 9th.

You can't take their position after the game as he is choosing to do. I'm tired of explaining this to him now. All that is being proved is that he is stupid and will never back down.
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tcobb
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« Reply #423 on: October 28, 2017, 19:11:00 pm »

Well that was an easier game for Blackpool. Hope this works out for them.
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« Reply #424 on: October 28, 2017, 19:32:42 pm »

Don't close the thread. Clinical psychologists up and down the country have C78 as a case study and statisticians everywhere are using his theory as an example of how not to calculate probability...

As the previous poster said, this was a harder game as Blackpool were 9th.

You can't take their position after the game as he is choosing to do. I'm tired of explaining this to him now. All that is being proved is that he is stupid and will never back down.

To be fair to your form theory, both team's last five games were very similar so that would have pointed to a tight game.
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Cobbler78
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« Reply #425 on: October 28, 2017, 19:44:13 pm »

Don't close the thread. Clinical psychologists up and down the country have C78 as a case study and statisticians everywhere are using his theory as an example of how not to calculate probability...

As the previous poster said, this was a harder game as Blackpool were 9th.

You can't take their position after the game as he is choosing to do. I'm tired of explaining this to him now. All that is being proved is that he is stupid and will never back down.

Their position Pre and post game is exactly the same, they are still top half you absolute C0ckwomble 😂😂😂
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« Reply #426 on: October 28, 2017, 20:16:32 pm »

Cobb78's jigsaw is starting to lose pieces...This was a harder game but we won meanwhile the Wombles was easier and we lost..

This thread needs to be flushed its clogging up the sh1tter
The thread wont be locked, because its working as click bait. In the meantime no 78, you truly are a patronising c***.
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Cobbler78
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« Reply #427 on: October 28, 2017, 21:06:54 pm »

The thread wont be locked, because its working as click bait. In the meantime no 78, you truly are a patronising c***.

You’re welcome 💋
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« Reply #428 on: October 28, 2017, 21:50:33 pm »

It's a shame that insults destroy what could be a good conversation about factors that indicate likelihood of results.
I must confess to preferring overall results over recent form and also prefer 'big' clubs over those that I consider are punching above their weight. So you can imagine clubs like Villa and Burton are killers for me.
There are some interesting form theories around. For example there's one that basically ignores single goal wins considering them to be as much luck as being a superior team. There's another that looks at goal timings, for example our 1-0 win today would be regarded as stronger with the goal being scored at 21 minutes and holding on rather than nicking a win in the last few minutes.
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« Reply #429 on: October 30, 2017, 13:41:05 pm »

Their position Pre and post game is exactly the same, they are still top half you absolute C0ckwomble 😂😂😂

So if Blackpool were 9th pre-game (taking someones elses word on that) If that is correct, how have we still not gained any points against top 10 teams? We just beat a top 10 side!

Ah, of course, you do your update based on the table after the game....

Can you still not see how wrong that is? Have a think before you start calling people names...
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« Reply #430 on: October 30, 2017, 13:55:18 pm »

So if Blackpool were 9th pre-game (taking someones elses word on that) If that is correct, how have we still not gained any points against top 10 teams? We just beat a top 10 side!

Ah, of course, you do your update based on the table after the game....

Can you still not see how wrong that is? Have a think before you start calling people names...

Try this.

Look at the current league table, how many point have we gained against teams currently in the top 10? I’ll help you out a bit, a nice round number will suffice an an answer.
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Cobbler78
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« Reply #431 on: October 30, 2017, 13:57:49 pm »

Here's a direct question for you C78 it only requires a single word answer tbh but I'm sure you'll embellish....

Who is the easier game at this time, Sc***horpe or Oldham?

And just so you don't have to check the table, Oldham are 20th on 15pts, Scunny are 8th on 23.

Rambo, remember this? Talk me through the result on Saturday please.
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« Reply #432 on: October 30, 2017, 14:46:31 pm »

Rambo, remember this? Talk me through the result on Saturday please.
All depends what sides are on show, its F.A Cup weekend!
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Cobbler78
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« Reply #433 on: October 30, 2017, 15:30:56 pm »

All depends what sides are on show, its F.A Cup weekend!

This game happened on Saturday. Awaiting Rambos explanation!
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« Reply #434 on: October 30, 2017, 15:46:57 pm »

Sorry thought you were talking about this Saturday
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« Reply #435 on: October 30, 2017, 16:43:11 pm »

So if Blackpool were 9th pre-game (taking someones elses word on that) If that is correct, how have we still not gained any points against top 10 teams? We just beat a top 10 side!

Ah, of course, you do your update based on the table after the game....

Can you still not see how wrong that is? Have a think before you start calling people names...

Actually, god knows when and how he does his updates!! Portsmouth went on a good run after we beat them, in fact they were 8th after beating MK Dons a couple of weeks ago...since then they’ve lost three in a row and are down to 14th...

To actually market your stats as fact you’d need to update after every single game played!!

If you had asked the question a couple of weeks ago we would have gained some points against a top 10 side, now we haven’t!!
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Cobbler78
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« Reply #436 on: October 30, 2017, 18:50:54 pm »

Actually, god knows when and how he does his updates!! Portsmouth went on a good run after we beat them, in fact they were 8th after beating MK Dons a couple of weeks ago...since then they’ve lost three in a row and are down to 14th...

To actually market your stats as fact you’d need to update after every single game played!!

If you had asked the question a couple of weeks ago we would have gained some points against a top 10 side, now we haven’t!!

Jesus Christ 😂😂😂 these people can vote, drive cars and breed 🙈🙈
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« Reply #437 on: October 30, 2017, 19:34:56 pm »

Maybe that is why we are struggling to score goals...because the goal posts keep moving?  Tongue
Top half, top ten, next it'll be the top 6. It's a very funny thread though and Opta must be ripping up their models.  Grin
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« Reply #438 on: October 30, 2017, 20:05:54 pm »

This thread demonstrates why you very rarely see a poor bookie...
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« Reply #439 on: October 30, 2017, 20:28:48 pm »

My dear Cobbler78 - Stop trying to deflect from your abject failure by referring to me suggesting that on current form, Oldham are a harder game than Sc***horpe just because the latter beat the former on Saturday....

Why? Because based on your very own formula, if the season were 5 games old and those 5 games were the 5 I referred to, then Oldham would be sitting high on 11pts and Scunny low on 4. So your very own "formula" would have Oldham as the hard game and Scunny as the easy.

Now on this occasion, Scunny upset the formbook which anyone knows can happen but anyway that isn't the point that you keep repeatedly dodging which is, that you can't ignore the fact that you have to judge whether a team is top half or not when you play them, not after.

We beat a top half team, which resulted in them dropping places
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