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Stats - Easier Games to come

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Author Topic: Stats - Easier Games to come  (Read 65804 times)
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bri77
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« Reply #560 on: December 20, 2017, 13:09:44 pm »

Beat Blackburn on Saturday and we have got more points against the top half than the bottom half after half a season. Meaning this easier games to come bulls*** is even more irrelevant than it is now.

Thank god Bristol Rovers and Oldham were two of the easier games this season, phew.
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Cobbler78
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« Reply #561 on: December 20, 2017, 14:36:03 pm »

Beat Blackburn on Saturday and we have got more points against the top half than the bottom half after half a season. Meaning this easier games to come bulls*** is even more irrelevant than it is now.

Thank god Bristol Rovers and Oldham were two of the easier games this season, phew.

Did we beat Blackburn this coming Saturday?
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threeinabed
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« Reply #562 on: December 20, 2017, 14:55:01 pm »

29 pages of this utter bulls***.

ridiculous
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Cobbler78
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« Reply #563 on: December 20, 2017, 15:37:02 pm »

29 pages of this utter bulls***.

ridiculous


Luckily this post has really improved the content 😂
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Shoemaker
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« Reply #564 on: December 20, 2017, 18:51:21 pm »

29 pages of this utter bulls***.

ridiculous

This is the most factually correct posting yet.
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bri77
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« Reply #565 on: December 21, 2017, 10:50:17 am »

Did we beat Blackburn this coming Saturday?

Nicely done, completely ignoring the fact that are two heaviest defeats have come in some of the easier games.

So IF we beat Blackburn are you going to end your constant trolling and pointless banality?

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WasRambo
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« Reply #566 on: December 21, 2017, 13:32:55 pm »

Really? You’d think it would be more accurate judging a teams strength based on alphabetical order or after 1 game. It’s a point of view I suppose.

You really are an arrogant so and so aren't you?

Anyway, I think it would have as much value as your method tbf.

You still haven't grasped the FACT that an average can't move about like yours does and a game can only be judged as easy or hard based on a teams position at the time they are played. By your method (any you need to own up to this unless you're too scared) a game can be played in October and be deemed to be hard but then that teams form dips and when you're doing your calculations in December, you are re-assessing the same game that was hard as now easy. Surely even you can see that once an event has passed, its difficulty cannot change? Its physically impossible!

To respond to your arrogant "it's a point of view I suppose" remark: Clearly, you need a a reasonable number of games to have been played before there is sufficient data to base any opinion on, regardless of the method. The larger the population of results, the more accurate predictions are likely to be. I don't recall how you worked out the possible outcome of the Shrewsbury game...

Seriously, you think you know what you're talking about but you don't, you're clueless. GCSE Grade 4 in Maths at best....
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Cobbler78
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« Reply #567 on: December 21, 2017, 14:13:07 pm »

Nicely done, completely ignoring the fact that are two heaviest defeats have come in some of the easier games.

So IF we beat Blackburn are you going to end your constant trolling and pointless banality?



It’s “our” two heaviest defeats.
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Cobbler78
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« Reply #568 on: December 21, 2017, 14:16:46 pm »

You really are an arrogant so and so aren't you?

Anyway, I think it would have as much value as your method tbf.

You still haven't grasped the FACT that an average can't move about like yours does and a game can only be judged as easy or hard based on a teams position at the time they are played. By your method (any you need to own up to this unless you're too scared) a game can be played in October and be deemed to be hard but then that teams form dips and when you're doing your calculations in December, you are re-assessing the same game that was hard as now easy. Surely even you can see that once an event has passed, its difficulty cannot change? Its physically impossible!

To respond to your arrogant "it's a point of view I suppose" remark: Clearly, you need a a reasonable number of games to have been played before there is sufficient data to base any opinion on, regardless of the method. The larger the population of results, the more accurate predictions are likely to be. I don't recall how you worked out the possible outcome of the Shrewsbury game...

Seriously, you think you know what you're talking about but you don't, you're clueless. GCSE Grade 4 in Maths at best....

This has nothing to do with Maths, it’s about common sense, so I understand why you’re struggling. Just read the other, simpler, threads and ignore this one if it’s confusing you or causing you stress.
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WasRambo
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« Reply #569 on: December 21, 2017, 14:37:54 pm »

This has nothing to do with Maths, it’s about common sense, so I understand why you’re struggling. Just read the other, simpler, threads and ignore this one if it’s confusing you or causing you stress.

Another response scoring 10 out of 10 on the Tw@t scale

It's entirely about maths, you quote average points and then multiply out to project a year end total. You really are making yourself look sillier by the post.

And still dodging the issue...
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« Reply #570 on: December 21, 2017, 14:40:14 pm »

when a team is beaten  tis an easy game, when we lose its a hard game, and when we draw i just cannot cope !
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Cobbler78
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« Reply #571 on: December 21, 2017, 14:50:00 pm »

Another response scoring 10 out of 10 on the Tw@t scale

It's entirely about maths, you quote average points and then multiply out to project a year end total. You really are making yourself look sillier by the post.

And still dodging the issue...

Speaking of dodging the point, you’ll accept the following bet as there is no such thing as easier or harder ganes(no draws)

I bet you £50 per game we lose to Blackburn (h), Wigan (h) Blackburn (a) Charlton (h), Peterborough (a), Bradford (a), Sc***horpe (a) and the that we beat Gillingham (H), Plymouth (H), Rochdale (H), MK Dons (h) and Wimbledon (a)

Put your money where your mouth is if my theory is rubbish, that goes for anyone.
« Last Edit: December 21, 2017, 15:03:34 pm by Cobbler78 » Report Spam   Logged
threeinabed
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« Reply #572 on: December 21, 2017, 15:38:08 pm »

get better odds at the bookies mate
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Cobbler78
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« Reply #573 on: December 21, 2017, 15:57:06 pm »

get better odds at the bookies mate


There’s a reason for that, fancy taking a wild guess at what it is? *Clue* read the title of the thread.
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Shoemaker
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« Reply #574 on: December 21, 2017, 16:58:29 pm »

To add a bit of balance
I’m glad I didn’t lump on us to beat Oldham (A)or Wimbledon (H) on the basis they were easy games

You can have as much as you want with me on us winning either of those! Roll Eyes
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Tabasco Kid
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« Reply #575 on: December 21, 2017, 18:24:24 pm »




 GCSE Grade 4 in Maths at best....
As issued by Kingsbrook School, Deanshanger.  Grin
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Were in the pipe 5 by 5.
Cobbler78
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« Reply #576 on: December 21, 2017, 22:59:34 pm »

Speaking of dodging the point, you’ll accept the following bet as there is no such thing as easier or harder ganes(no draws)

I bet you £50 per game we lose to Blackburn (h), Wigan (h) Blackburn (a) Charlton (h), Peterborough (a), Bradford (a), Sc***horpe (a) and the that we beat Gillingham (H), Plymouth (H), Rochdale (H), MK Dons (h) and Wimbledon (a)

Put your money where your mouth is if my theory is rubbish, that goes for anyone.

No takers I see. I can only assume that you all agree with me now. Shame it took so long for the penny to drop.
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wrigleys
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« Reply #577 on: December 22, 2017, 05:06:07 am »

Yes I agree with you now
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« Reply #578 on: December 22, 2017, 07:10:14 am »

No takers I see. I can only assume that you all agree with me now. Shame it took so long for the penny to drop.

I seem to remember you didn't want to put money on this earlier this season despite what the stats/projection said?
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Cobbler78
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« Reply #579 on: December 22, 2017, 07:12:47 am »

I seem to remember you didn't want to put money on this earlier this season despite what the stats/projection said?

I’d check again if I were you.
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