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Stats - Easier Games to come

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Author Topic: Stats - Easier Games to come  (Read 64676 times)
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guest170
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« Reply #740 on: January 15, 2018, 11:38:19 am »


Of course, you could just be one of those people that likes to try and wind other people up which if true is very sad.

I'm fairly sure this is a season long fishing trip and unfortunately I bit a few times.
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southofthecounty
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« Reply #741 on: January 15, 2018, 11:58:01 am »

Is Cobbler78 Marvo? I remember Marvo?
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Cobbler78
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« Reply #742 on: January 15, 2018, 12:01:35 pm »

Is Cobbler78 Marvo? I remember Marvo?

Nope.
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WasRambo
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« Reply #743 on: January 15, 2018, 12:17:40 pm »

Marvo was a stubborn sod and we crossed swords a few times but I wouldn't put him in C78's category.
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Cobbler78
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« Reply #744 on: January 15, 2018, 12:18:39 pm »

Marvo was a stubborn sod and we crossed swords a few times but I wouldn't put him in C78's category.

Thankyou and you’re welcome.
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southofthecounty
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« Reply #745 on: January 15, 2018, 12:40:27 pm »

Thankyou and you’re welcome.
Are you 100% sure that was a compliment?
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WasRambo
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« Reply #746 on: January 15, 2018, 13:25:14 pm »

Are you 100% sure that was a compliment?

It wasn't but he's so smug / up his own ar$e / on a wind up.... that is a stock response
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Cobbler78
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« Reply #747 on: January 15, 2018, 13:29:04 pm »

It wasn't but he's so smug / up his own ar$e / on a wind up.... that is a stock response

It’s definitely one of those options.
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DrillingCobbler
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« Reply #748 on: January 15, 2018, 14:05:45 pm »

I always think recent form and circumstances is a better way to judge whether or not a haul of points is coming your way.

Bradfords a fine example. They'd just been dumped out of the FA Cup by a sh1t league2 club, had lost 6 of their 13 home games this season (despite being in 5th position) and were missing their key player. And by key, were talking 'Bayo' for us a few years back. Or John Joe now. It was definitely a good time to play them!

Southend the week before were crashing down the league. Again, excellent time to play them.

I appreciate that bookmakers rarely factor these variants in at our level (we were long shots to win on Saturday), so I can't vouch for it being a better 'system' but when your looking for value quite often recent form and circumstances (injuries, suspensions, fatigue if a team has had a number of games in a short period etc) are a better indication than pure league position.

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WasRambo
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« Reply #749 on: January 15, 2018, 16:57:41 pm »

I always think recent form and circumstances is a better way to judge whether or not a haul of points is coming your way.

Bradfords a fine example. They'd just been dumped out of the FA Cup by a sh1t league2 club, had lost 6 of their 13 home games this season (despite being in 5th position) and were missing their key player. And by key, were talking 'Bayo' for us a few years back. Or John Joe now. It was definitely a good time to play them!

Southend the week before were crashing down the league. Again, excellent time to play them.

I appreciate that bookmakers rarely factor these variants in at our level (we were long shots to win on Saturday), so I can't vouch for it being a better 'system' but when your looking for value quite often recent form and circumstances (injuries, suspensions, fatigue if a team has had a number of games in a short period etc) are a better indication than pure league position.



Bookies do take these factors into account and whilst bets placed is the ultimate mover of prices, they're not averse to trimming a few fractions if they cotton on to some team news.

There's money involved so you can be sure they're using the most sophisticated algorithms there are. Put it this way, if C78 went for a job with Billy Hills and had to present his method, he wouldn't be getting a 2nd interview...
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Cobbler78
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« Reply #750 on: January 15, 2018, 19:24:39 pm »

Bookies do take these factors into account and whilst bets placed is the ultimate mover of prices, they're not averse to trimming a few fractions if they cotton on to some team news.

There's money involved so you can be sure they're using the most sophisticated algorithms there are. Put it this way, if C78 went for a job with Billy Hills and had to present his method, he wouldn't be getting a 2nd interview...

Which is strange, as I’ve been correct historically, am correct currently and will be correct at the end of the season. Must be annoying for you.
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WasRambo
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« Reply #751 on: January 16, 2018, 07:12:31 am »

Which is strange, as I’ve been correct historically, am correct currently and will be correct at the end of the season. Must be annoying for you.

Haha. You have a lofty opinion of yourself.

Anyway, now you've admitted that this has just been a 38 page wind up the thread may as well be locked.

Just my opinion mind
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Cobbler78
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« Reply #752 on: January 16, 2018, 08:27:49 am »

Haha. You have a lofty opinion of yourself.

Anyway, now you've admitted that this has just been a 38 page wind up the thread may as well be locked.

Just my opinion mind

Where did I admit that? Have you misunderstood something else?
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« Reply #753 on: January 16, 2018, 08:33:36 am »

He has admitted its stating the obvious and claiming superiority for doing so
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Cobbler78
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« Reply #754 on: January 16, 2018, 08:41:53 am »

He has admitted its stating the obvious and claiming superiority for doing so


Correct.
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WasRambo
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« Reply #755 on: January 16, 2018, 12:15:02 pm »

It’s definitely one of those options.

Assuming that you're not admitting to being smug or up your own ar$e, then you're just on a wind up.

Actually, who cares, you'll just give the most argumentative / provocative answer you can...
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Cobbler78
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« Reply #756 on: January 16, 2018, 12:18:22 pm »

Assuming that you're not admitting to being smug or up your own ar$e, then you're just on a wind up.

Actually, who cares, you'll just give the most argumentative / provocative answer you can...

You know what they say about assuming don’t you? Actually, maybe I shouldn’t assume that you do.
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WasRambo
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« Reply #757 on: January 16, 2018, 12:24:13 pm »

You know what they say about assuming don’t you? Actually, maybe I shouldn’t assume that you do.

Point proved.

If you're trying to make me lose my temper, or call you names, or such like - you, like your theories are an abject failure.

Seriously, you should try attempting to make a few friends rather than doing your utmost to be an (albeit minor) irritant.
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Cobbler78
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« Reply #758 on: January 16, 2018, 12:44:46 pm »

Point proved.

If you're trying to make me lose my temper, or call you names, or such like - you, like your theories are an abject failure.

Seriously, you should try attempting to make a few friends rather than doing your utmost to be an (albeit minor) irritant.

*point proven
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guest170
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« Reply #759 on: January 16, 2018, 13:30:56 pm »

*point proven
Grin I'm actually starting to like Cobbler78. He's like that cheeky stupid kid at school who's always really cocky to the teacher. Everyone laughs (at him) then he's sent to the headteachers office and you can get back on with your day
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