The Hotel End
March 28, 2024, 10:10:09 am
Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?

Login with username, password and session length
News:
 
  Home Help Search Arcade Downloads Gallery Links Staff List Calendar Login Register Chat  

Stats - Easier Games to come

Pages: 1 ... 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 [48] 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 ... 57   Go Down
  Print  
Author Topic: Stats - Easier Games to come  (Read 64601 times)
0 Members and 10 Guests are viewing this topic.
WasRambo
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Posts: 2875


View Profile
Badges: (View All)
Windows User Combination Topic Starter
« Reply #940 on: February 08, 2018, 06:59:39 am »

I’d nod politely and maybe move away from Rambo at the next stop.

Oh dear. Shows just how deluded you are if you think I'm the one being referred to regarding the moon / cheese.

You need help, seriously you do...
Report Spam   Logged
Cobbler78
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Posts: 3036


View Profile
Badges: (View All)
« Reply #941 on: February 08, 2018, 13:57:01 pm »

Latest update before the easier game at Wimbledon.

Vs Top: Played 16, 14pts, 0.875 points per game, projection 21pts
Vs Bottom: Played 15, 19pts, 1.267 points per game, projection 28pts

Total projection 49pts

Still hoping for 60points, will be tough though as we’ve dropped 8 points in home bankers vs Bury, Wimbledon and Rochdale and only had 1 miracle result away at Bradford, hopefully a few more miracle results will even this up.
« Last Edit: February 08, 2018, 17:08:26 pm by Cobbler78 » Report Spam   Logged
guest2677
Guest

Badges: (View All)
« Reply #942 on: February 08, 2018, 14:58:51 pm »

Latest update before the easier game at Wimbledon.

Vs Top: Played 16, 14pts, 0.875 points per game, projection 21pts
Vs Bottom: Played 15, 19pts, 1.267 points per game, projection 28pts

Total projection 49pts

Still hoping for 60points, will be tough though as we’ve dropped 7 points in home bankers vs Bury, Wimbledon and Rochdale and only had 1 miracle result away at Bradford, hopefully a few more miracle results will even this up.
Grin Grin
Blimey C78, four days before you worked out where that last piece went. Must have been a toughie.

Home 'bankers' Wimbledon Rochdale and Bury.  Grin
I think it's fair to say I'd have been massively impressed had we picked up an additional seven points from those three games on top of the solitary one we got against Bury.  Grin









Report Spam   Logged
Dr Feelgood
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Posts: 12333



View Profile
Badges: (View All)
Level 6 Linux User Mobile User
« Reply #943 on: February 08, 2018, 15:25:10 pm »

This is more like it. This could go on all season

Report Spam   Logged

For goodness sake Doc we are NOT going down  Grin   you heard it here 1st  Wink

(I damn well hope that does not come back to haunt me)
Cobbler78
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Posts: 3036


View Profile
Badges: (View All)
« Reply #944 on: February 08, 2018, 15:26:48 pm »

Grin Grin
Blimey C78, four days before you worked out where that last piece went. Must have been a toughie.

Home 'bankers' Wimbledon Rochdale and Bury.  Grin
I think it's fair to say I'd have been massively impressed had we picked up an additional seven points from those three games on top of the solitary one we got against Bury.  Grin











Really? 3 of the most winnable games of the season, I don’t understand your thinking, maybe you’re just easily impressed.
« Last Edit: February 08, 2018, 15:28:19 pm by Cobbler78 » Report Spam   Logged
Cobbler78
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Posts: 3036


View Profile
Badges: (View All)
« Reply #945 on: February 08, 2018, 15:28:54 pm »

This is more like it. This could go on all season



Don’t worry, it will.
Report Spam   Logged
threeinabed
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Posts: 3026


View Profile
Badges: (View All)
Linux User Mobile User Windows User
« Reply #946 on: February 08, 2018, 15:59:21 pm »

Really? 3 of the most winnable games of the season, I don’t understand your thinking, maybe you’re just easily impressed.

i think its more to do with us getting 1 point from those 3 games, and you thinking we could have got 7 more - which is 8?!

Report Spam   Logged
guest47
Guest

Badges: (View All)
« Reply #947 on: February 08, 2018, 16:23:37 pm »

Ok then.
In terms of upward improving trends.
We have had 2 winning league runs of 3 victories, one against Gills(a) Blackpool(h) and oxford(a), and then one against Southend(h) Bradford(a) and Donkeys(h).
Chuck a draw with Rochdale(a) and Blackburn(a) on those runs respectively, and you get our two longest leage runs of four without deafeat.
Five of those games were played away and three were played at home
Four games(3wins) were against C78s current so called harder opponents, and four games(3wins) against his easier opponents.
If you can find a pattern in those figures alone, I applaud you.

Regarding injuries, suspensions, transfer windows etc that's surely for another thread because the OP has constantly expressed a desire to keep this as simple as possible, unless it suits his argument otherwise of course.
So since his first post suggested easier games were coming, the simplest analysis shows we currently average 1.08ppm from league matches played since then, compared to 1ppm from league matches up to then.


I don't think there is a patten to be unearthed. People forget there is a massive element of luck in an individual game which makes it all the more entertaining. After all how many other games can you win by just scoring one point?
My point is whether it's better to back a team higher in the league that's gone off the boil (think Chelsea) or a lower team that hit a run of recent form (Swansea springs to mind).
Report Spam   Logged
Cobbler78
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Posts: 3036


View Profile
Badges: (View All)
« Reply #948 on: February 08, 2018, 17:07:50 pm »

i think its more to do with us getting 1 point from those 3 games, and you thinking we could have got 7 more - which is 8?!



Ah, yes. You are of course correct.
Report Spam   Logged
guest2677
Guest

Badges: (View All)
« Reply #949 on: February 08, 2018, 17:37:47 pm »

I don't think there is a patten to be unearthed. People forget there is a massive element of luck in an individual game which makes it all the more entertaining. After all how many other games can you win by just scoring one point?
My point is whether it's better to back a team higher in the league that's gone off the boil (think Chelsea) or a lower team that hit a run of recent form (Swansea springs to mind).

I'd say there can be a massive element of luck in a game, but it's not mandatory. You raised the point some time back about certain analysts disregarding 1-0 wins I think, and I certainly see the validity in that.

Backing a higher team without form or lower with form?.. If you were a certain type then you'd say class was permanent and back that way regardless I suppose. I'm not a betting person of any degree, but I'd guess the bookies in your example will still shorten the odds of Chelsea over Swansea, after all other factors have been taken in consideration.
What happened to Leicester's matchday odds in their title winning season? Did the bookies follow the then recent evidence and make them favorites as the season progressed, or were they still classed as underdogs when playing the likes of Man Utd?
Report Spam   Logged
Grove
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Posts: 1903


View Profile
Badges: (View All)
Linux User Mobile User Windows User
« Reply #950 on: February 08, 2018, 17:52:59 pm »

Oh dear. Shows just how deluded you are if you think I'm the one being referred to regarding the moon / cheese.

You need help, seriously you do...

He wouldn't notice you on the bus, too busy licking the window
Report Spam   Logged
guest49
Guest

Badges: (View All)
« Reply #951 on: February 08, 2018, 18:25:32 pm »

Mystic Meg has it down to 49-60 points. I reckon he’ll get it down to within 3 points on match day 46.
Report Spam   Logged
Cobbler78
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Posts: 3036


View Profile
Badges: (View All)
« Reply #952 on: February 08, 2018, 19:05:51 pm »

He wouldn't notice you on the bus, too busy licking the window

Hey, I disagree with a lot of what Rambo says, he might be a little slow on the uptake but you shouldn’t stoop to that level of insulting him. Poor show.
Report Spam   Logged
WasRambo
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Posts: 2875


View Profile
Badges: (View All)
Windows User Combination Topic Starter
« Reply #953 on: February 08, 2018, 19:26:58 pm »

Hey, I disagree with a lot of what Rambo says, he might be a little slow on the uptake but you shouldn’t stoop to that level of insulting him. Poor show.

Nice try but your jibes are as cheap as your theories. However, seeing as you seem to want to make this personal, I think the overwhelming majority who have participated in this thread know which of the two of us have put together the most convincing case.

 Not that I take it as any great accolade...
Report Spam   Logged
Deepcut Cobbler
Administrator
*****
Offline Offline

Posts: 14651



View Profile
Badges: (View All)
Search Level 6 Windows User
« Reply #954 on: February 08, 2018, 20:09:45 pm »

IMO, Was, you are the one who has 'lost'. You've been dragged into being the greatest contributor of a thread that you have at various times disputed and I believe requested that it be closed a number of times.
You have ensured that it has continued by adding the fuel to the flame to maintain it's brightness sufficiently enough to keep the originator in the spotlight.
Report Spam   Logged

“They shall grow not old as we that are left grow old:
Age shall not weary them, nor the years condemn.
At the going down of the sun and in the morning
We will remember them.” Laurence Binyon

The Hotelend Grand National Sweepstake Champion 2009
Cobbler78
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Posts: 3036


View Profile
Badges: (View All)
« Reply #955 on: February 08, 2018, 20:11:20 pm »

Nice try but your jibes are as cheap as your theories. However, seeing as you seem to want to make this personal, I think the overwhelming majority who have participated in this thread know which of the two of us have put together the most convincing case.

 Not that I take it as any great accolade...

The majority understand, therefore have no reason to post. One or two are struggling and continue to post their theories as to why it’s wrong. That’s the long and the short of it.
Report Spam   Logged
guest47
Guest

Badges: (View All)
« Reply #956 on: February 08, 2018, 21:26:28 pm »

I'd say there can be a massive element of luck in a game, but it's not mandatory. You raised the point some time back about certain analysts disregarding 1-0 wins I think, and I certainly see the validity in that.

Backing a higher team without form or lower with form?.. If you were a certain type then you'd say class was permanent and back that way regardless I suppose. I'm not a betting person of any degree, but I'd guess the bookies in your example will still shorten the odds of Chelsea over Swansea, after all other factors have been taken in consideration.
What happened to Leicester's matchday odds in their title winning season? Did the bookies follow the then recent evidence and make them favorites as the season progressed, or were they still classed as underdogs when playing the likes of Man Utd?


Whilst the bookies put out initial odds it's the punters that decide them by the money they bet. It's a misconception that bookies have a view on whether a team will win, draw or lose - they simply gauge what the punters think in order to make a market where they are guaranteed a win whatever the result.
The comparison with Leicester is interesting but there's one much closer to home. When the Cobblers were on their winning run in the promotion year you could always get way better odds than the more fancied teams such as Oxford and the like. Punters assumed the bubble would burst much as they did with Leicester and there must have been quite a few Cobblers fans than won silly money over that time.
I think people can be lazy when looking at lower league teams and simply go for the names. For example Portsmouth were always skinny odds no matter how badly they were doing.
Report Spam   Logged
everbrite
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Posts: 20217


Steve Howard best since Cliff Holton


View Profile
Badges: (View All)
20000 Posts Search Apple User
« Reply #957 on: February 08, 2018, 22:00:00 pm »

........................................... and I believe requested that it be closed a number of times.


Is this true Rambo ? if so it does make one chuckle.

Report Spam   Logged

2020 Grand National S/S 3rd Place
guest3114
Guest

Badges: (View All)
« Reply #958 on: February 09, 2018, 00:52:11 am »

Extraordinarily whilst it appears some are keen not to be labelled the man who thinks the moon is made of cheese, they seemingly have no problem with potentially being labelled the manic obsessive waving pictures of Neil Armstrong about? My fascination with this thread continues, as does the journey on the number 78 bus.
Report Spam   Logged
WasRambo
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Posts: 2875


View Profile
Badges: (View All)
Windows User Combination Topic Starter
« Reply #959 on: February 09, 2018, 08:02:39 am »

Is this true Rambo ? if so it does make one chuckle.



I've questioned the value of it countless times, mainly because the OP is too numb to address questions directed at him. I've not begged for it to be closed, certainly not a number of times.

I have however said several times that i won't post any more as it's pointless but like many others, it only takes another daft statement from the OP to start the cycle again.

I'm not seeing this as a win lose situation tbh. I've agreed with the simplistic logic of getting more points from lower teams, I've disagreed on several levels and with just cause with how that logic is extended to create the OP's projections.

I've not seen anyone agree with the OP's logic but I've seen plenty of agreement with the alternatives offered and instead he has substituted debate with insult. If that makes me a loser or the loser, I can live with it

So Deepcut, you're entitled to your opinion, reading back would suggest you're in a minority.

And Nevers, who threw you a biscuit? Your only contribution to the thread seems to have been pi$$ poor attempts at a wind up. You're better off back on threads where you can criticise people for not going to every game surely?
Report Spam   Logged
Pages: 1 ... 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 [48] 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 ... 57   Go Up
  Print  
 
Jump to:  

Powered by EzPortal
Parental guidance is urged as this messageboard may not be suitable for all persons especially those under the age of 16 as the forums may contain words, phrases and expressions not considered appropriate for a younger audience so please express caution. If any posts in the forums offend you, please let us know and we will look at them and if we agree with your complaint, we will remove them. You are personally responsible and potentially liable for the contents of your posting and may be sued should your posting contain content of a defamatory or other illegal nature. Every message posted leaves a traceable IP number. We check the forums at various times of the day and remove offending posts. Other supporters are welcome but abusive or silly posts will be removed and the offenders potentially barred from future access to the site. We advise that you never reveal any personal information about yourself or anyone else (for example: telephone number, home address or email address), and please do not include postal addresses of any kind. This messageboard is not endorsed or in any way affiliated with Northampton Town FC. All postings on this board become copyright of The Hotel End & may not be reproduced without the permission of the board administrator. By signing up to this message board you agree to this. The Hotel End cannot be held liable for the actions or postings of its members. The Hotel End reserve the right to edit, delete, move or close any thread for any reason. The Hotel End may disclose user information to government authorities at their discretion or when required by law. The Hotel End may also disclose user information when The Hotel End has reason to believe that someone is causing injury to or interference with its rights or property, other The Hotel End users, or anyone else that could be harmed by such activities. By registering for The Hotel End, you agree to indemnify The Hotel End its representatives, and agents, and hold them harmless from any and all claims (including claims for legal fees) which may arise from your participation on the The Hotel End. You also agree that The Hotel End is not responsible for the materials posted by users of The Hotel End. In addition, you grant The Hotel End and its affiliates, worldwide, royalty-free perpetual, irrevocable, non-exclusive right and license to use, reproduce, modify, adapt, publish, translate, create derivative works from, distribute, perform and display any message or content posted on The Hotel End and/or e-mail sent by you to The Hotel End (in whole or in part). The Hotel End reserves the right to make the rules up as it goes along. Thank you - The Hotel End I love Quidco
Bookmark this site!
Powered by SMF | SMF © 2016, Simple Machines
Privacy Policy