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Substitutions, Squad Depth and Late Capitulations

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GrangeParkCobbler
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« Reply #20 on: September 30, 2019, 18:50:51 pm »

Is some of this just that we analyse all the things that go wrong when the end result is negative and yet don't as much if we win.  The times he's made subs/changes this season and we held on and won...worked???

To me we conceded in both games at a horrible time around the 20 mins to go mark.  At 2-0 especially away from home you slow the game down make subs and see it out.

If we had defended properly in both games and not conceded with 20 to go we come out comfortable winners irrespective of changes.  Both Crawley and Morecambe got a massive lift at an opportune time for them, rode that wave and equalised with some good fortune added in.

Still learning and missing a little bit of experience at the right times.
 

Walsall.....lost 0-1.....went behind in the 15th minute......substitutions changed nothing........0 points
Port Vale.....drew 1-1....1-1 at half time.....three subs in 2nd half changed nothing.......0 points
Macclesfield...lost 1-2....losing 0-1 and made three subs.....changed nothing apart from the scoreline.....0 points
Swindon...won 1-0....were winning 1-0 before any subs were made.....score stayed the same.....0 points
Colchester....lost 0-1...were losing 0-1 when he made the second and third subs....changed nothing....0 points
Plymouth..won 3-1...3-1 up at half time....three subs made in the second half....score stayed the same....0 points
Bradford...lost 1-2....were winning before he made any subs.......conceded twice after all three subs had been made.....-3 points
Newport...won 2-0...were winnnig 1-0 before any subs...made 1 and went 2-0 up, made two more....stayed 2-0....0 points
Stevenage..won 1-0...0-0 at half time.....brought Smith on who went and scored the winner.....stayed 1-0.....+2 points
Crawley...drew 2-2....were winning 2-0 before he brought on any subs, brought one on and went to 2-1...brought two more on and conceded in the 90th....-2 points
Morecambe...drew 2-2..were winning 2-0 before he brought on any subs, brought two subs on before conceding the first, another sub before conceded in the 90th....-2 points


A crude analysis I know, but you could argue that only in the Stevenage game has a substitution proved to be effective, whereas they cost points in three games and had no effect in the other 7 league games.
Of our wins, apart from Stevenage I don't believe the subs made any difference to the outcomes of Plymouth and Newport as we never looked in any danger, the other game where we won at Swindon he actually took off a defender and attacker (Wharton and Williams) and put two forwards on (Oliver and Waters) so far from shutting up shop in that one.
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