I'm going to have to pull you up on this Guru Tel as technically I'm correct.
Both scenarios depend hugely on where you are.
For example, I'm on an small island with just a few hundred people, all free of covid yet rife with other infectious diseases, mostly STD's.
Unless you are in quarantine, I am less likely to catch it than you, doing your weekly vegan shopping in Waitrose. However if I go climb a coconut tree in one of the numerous tropical storms, the odds sway back in your favour. Due to climatic changes we can also expect regular severe weather conditions so being so diligent I would re-point your chimney for good measure.
As you said it's only a million or so dead or 0.0128% The question for all of us is will it make two million? Malaria consistently kills nearly half a million people every year but there's pant wetting as it doesn't spread in the High Street.
covid infections may go down or slow but more people than ever will be struck by lighning.
I'm not arguing for or against it. I work in healthcare and I have had it. Whether or not that means I am vulnerable to it again or not I don't know. However, putting us aside, the argument has never been about the likelihood of dying, it has always been about the capacity of the services we have to cope with, both currently and in the long term.
Whether we like it or not, football is not simply about a group of independents sitting in a stadium 2m apart from each other. Supporters will increase the footfall on public transport, access and egress and in the surrounding bars and restaurants.
Putting aside the million or so who have already died (figures that I’m sure are up for debate) there will be hundreds of millions who will be moderately to severely affected by this virus. A huge amount of these would not have fell into the high risk groups, but are now showing up months after not knowing they had been infected, with issues that are directly attributed to this virus. The effect of this virus will be with us for years to come.
So whilst I would love to return to football, which I miss so much, I am conscious of and actually routinely witness the toll it takes on the families of the dead. But equally on those that survive it. I have bought my season ticket. I would happily contribute further to the club if I am asked. If they want to offer me my season ticket for the next few years at the same price, I will buy it, if it helps.