Not sure if this translates, I'm on a course at work, 10 people attending, 2 of us have had Covid. So going on that roughly 200 out of 2,000 at a game would have or had Covid.
I think you'll find that sample size is too small to defend for even the most ardent of the amateur statisticians who post on here.
Has no one yet raised the point that the town or postcode of a football ground may well fall into tiers one or two allowing spectators to return, but those spectators coming to the game may well be living in areas within tier three.
An example of the discrepancy in figures from BBC covid in my area just today shows Rugby having an infection rate of 232 per 100000 and Daventry of 124 per 100000. Ten miles apart with lots of people living somewhere in the middle.
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