Relegation Watch

[itsme]

We won't go down I said 17th at the start of the season well be there or there abouts come the end

[Terryfenwickatemyhamster]

We will be in league one next season. With it looks like a few tasty additions from the championship. And quite possibly a wonderful trip to Mansfield as well..

Can’t wait already. 

[Ragdoll Cobbler]

Always one team that drops like a stone due to being complacent & thinking the jobs done...

We still need 52 points so every point is valuable at this level...

Thankfully, most of the other results went our way today & there are some huge games on Tuesday night...

The post match from Brady was very telling in that he feels he never got the support he needed from the board during the last few days of the window...

Gonna be a long hard slog to get to those magical 52 points...

Just hope some of the teams below us implode!

Also, today was exactly the reason many of us thought the play offs were always pie in the sky, we financial can't compete at this level at the moment...

It also doesn't help when you spend a huge chunk of the budget on 2 year contract for a striker who never scores & is always injured!

[ajp]

Agree in a way but plenty of teams have had and are still having success without being anywhere near the top budget wise.

[DavCobb]

I think 47/48 will be enough this season, although I can see us finishing on 55+

[ajp]

I think 47/48 will be enough this season, although I can see us finishing on 55+

That 4th spot worries me slightly

[DavCobb]

That 4th spot worries me slightly

If you look at the sheer volume of teams who need points to pass us, let alone put us in the bottom
4 it ain’t gonna happen. If we go on a 14 game losing run I might start slightly worrying. That’s when JB gets the bullet and Wilder comes in to save us, because he won’t be at Sheff United by then. 

[Dan]

The team dropping from nowhere has been on course for months.

Port Vale have been ever since they beat us in September. 2 wins since that win.

[TPFKA Marvo]

So, Tuesday night three of the bottom four are playing, all away from home and none look likely to gain any points.

Then Saturday, Cheltenham and Fleetwood have tricky away games, Carlisle are at home but to league leaders Portsmouth. Reading v Charlton is the only game you can see any of the bottom 4 making a move and even then it would just drag the Addicks closer to the drop.

We'll probably lose to Bolton but I don't think it will make much different in us dropping closer to the relegation mire, at least points wise.

By the end of February the picture will be much clearer.

[TPFKA Marvo]

It's that time again. Reading win at Stevenage, Fleetwood win at Bristol Rovers and Exeter beat Peterborough. Suddenly we are closer to the relegation zone than we are the play-offs.

[west stand oap]

I doubt we will be dragged into the relegation fight, no team has gone down in the last 10 seasons with 51 points and last season Cambridge stayed up with 46. The average number of points to avoid relegation in the last 10 years (ignoring the covid shortened season) is 48.1 points.

[Manwork04]

I doubt we will be dragged into the relegation fight, no team has gone down in the last 10 seasons with 51 points and last season Cambridge stayed up with 46. The average number of points to avoid relegation in the last 10 years (ignoring the covid shortened season) is 48.1 points.

We don’t live in an average world though, 50 points minimum, we should do it with ease but stranger things have happened.

[TPFKA Marvo]

Still a 10 point cushion though Port Vale do have 2 games in hand now.

[GrangeParkCobbler]

I doubt we will be dragged into the relegation fight, no team has gone down in the last 10 seasons with 51 points and last season Cambridge stayed up with 46. The average number of points to avoid relegation in the last 10 years (ignoring the covid shortened season) is 48.1 points.

On the comparable week last season the teams in 20th and 21st had 30 and 29 points respectively, this season they have 32 and 31, so the safety target would appear that its going be a bit higher this season than last.

[west stand oap]

Last season Cambridge stayed up with 46 points.

[Manwork04]

Last season Cambridge stayed up with 46 points.

But it’s not last season and the way the bottom 4 have been picking up points we could be in the mix if we don’t win in the next run of 5 games, Boro, Oxford and Rovers who beat Stevenage away yesterday in that run. FACT.

[Ragdoll Cobbler]

While several were dreaming of a fanciful play off push, I like many others, realised with the current injury ravaged squad we have at our disposal, it's all about getting to the 52 point mark ASAP.

This season was all about staying up (yes i'd too love a play off push but with no tangible backing & continually taking punts on injury prone players it quickly became evident it was never a realistic target)

So, yes, as expected, we are truly in a relegation fight until we get those elusive 11 points...

Rovers on Saturday & Burton away the following Saturday & Charlton at home the Saturday after that are huge "must not lose" games...

If we get can get something at Oxford, that's a bonus!

Thing is. we don't know any timescales on any of the injured players, so we don't have a clue what the team will be from game to game.

Simpson must start over Appere though

[west stand oap]

No team has gone down with 51 points in the last 10 seasons so we need another 10 points from 15 games to reach that magical figure, it would take a disastrous run of results not to achieve that. Towards the end of the season we have home games to come against Port Vale, Carlisle and Exeter but on second thoughts they will all be fighting desperately to stay up so perhaps we should accept that we are doomed.

[DavCobb]

In the spirit of previous posts "close this thread!" 

We ain't going down, we ain't going to be in a relegation scrap. FACT

Super Sammy will rise like Lazarus and see us comfortably retain our L1 status. Failing that Super Simmo is about to embark on a golden scoring spree and our defence is about to stop fannying about.
Some people just like to lose their nerve on a consistent basis.

[everbrite]

In the spirit of previous posts "close this thread!" 

We ain't going down, we ain't going to be in a relegation scrap. FACT

Super Sammy will rise like Lazarus and see us comfortably retain our L1 status. Failing that Super Simmo is about to embark on a golden scoring spree and our defence is about to stop fannying about.
Some people just like to lose their nerve on a consistent basis.

Good point made in the last sentence.