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Bolton Wanderers (h)

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Manwork04
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« on: February 07, 2024, 18:55:46 pm »

https://www.bwfc.co.uk/news/sold-out-northampton-town
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Bingers
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« Reply #1 on: February 07, 2024, 21:17:25 pm »


They picked a nice photo to show what the ground looks like. Oops, perhaps that should be on the other thread.
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Terryfenwickatemyhamster
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« Reply #2 on: February 07, 2024, 22:52:23 pm »

They’re lambs to the slaughter
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« Reply #3 on: February 08, 2024, 05:24:54 am »

4-0 not sure who too
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itsme
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« Reply #4 on: February 08, 2024, 06:41:40 am »

I'll be honest I'd happily take a point from this game not sure well even get that
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west stand oap
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« Reply #5 on: February 08, 2024, 07:33:15 am »

A couple of weeks ago they took 3044 to Carlisle, good job we don't have a bigger ground or it would be like a home game for them.
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« Reply #6 on: February 08, 2024, 07:55:42 am »

A couple of weeks ago they took 3044 to Carlisle, good job we don't have a bigger ground or it would be like a home game for them.
The gift that doesn’t stop giving, if we had capacity we’d have an extra £75,000 in gate receipts, please don’t start your own business.
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« Reply #7 on: February 08, 2024, 08:49:03 am »

Can't see anything but a battering unfortunately...

They're gonna be fuming after their 8 minute abandoned game v Cambridge on Tuesday night & think we'll get their wrath...

Also, a bloomin' good team...

Won't let me put the cry emoji for some reason!
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« Reply #8 on: February 08, 2024, 09:12:59 am »

I’ll bet ya a Peter Kay ticket that we beat them.
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« Reply #9 on: February 08, 2024, 09:18:13 am »

A couple of weeks ago they took 3044 to Carlisle, good job we don't have a bigger ground or it would be like a home game for them.
Which incidentally, was less than what Carlisle brought to them!
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« Reply #10 on: February 08, 2024, 10:21:30 am »

I'll tell you now
And I'll tell you honestly
I will love it if we beat them

Thanks Kev

Where are you
Where are you
Let's be avin' you
C'mon

Thanks Delia
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west stand oap
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« Reply #11 on: February 08, 2024, 12:01:24 pm »

As the thread is up I may as well add some stats. We have little history with Bolton, only 14 games of which we have won 5, drawn 1 and lost 8, both teams scoring 19 goals. We have only played them 6 times at home winning 2 and losing 4 including the last 3, we last beat them in 1967 completing a 2-1 double that season. Our other home victory was in 1965 when he hammered them 4-0 in the season in the top flight. Bolton are in good form winning 6, drawing 1 and losing 1 of their last 8 games. They are the divisions 4th highest scorers with Dion Charles bagging 13 (17 in all competitions) and Victor Adeboyejo 8. They also have the best defensive record and in their 13 away games have only conceded 9 goals with 7 clean sheets while scoring 21 (only 3 games scoring more than 2). They have won 8, drawn 2 (Burton, Oxford) and lost 3 (Reading, Portsmouth, Leyton Orient) and they rate their 'keeper as the best in the division.

Our referee is Jeremy Simpson who has not been very active this season with no games during November, December or January. In 12 games he has issued 50 yellows, 2 reds and awarded 1 penalty and 7 of his games were in the Championship. In his first 10 games he issued 31 yellows but 19 in the last 2, last Saturday in his first game back in the Burton v Lincoln game he produced 11 yellows (8 to Burton) and 1 red.

Given our awful record against the top 6, Bolton's current form, their meagre defence and Hoskins likely to be missing (presumably replaced by Appere) it is difficult to be optimistic about this game. After last week JB may return to a back 4 but it is unlikely that Sherring will start and if neither McWilliams or Sowerby are back in midfield Fox could start but won't last the 90 minutes or we may see Gape for the first time. Should be well over 7000 in attendance who will be hoping for a vast improvement on the last 2 games.
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« Reply #12 on: February 08, 2024, 12:07:28 pm »

As the thread is up I may as well add some stats. We have little history with Bolton, only 14 games of which we have won 5, drawn 1 and lost 8, both teams scoring 19 goals. We have only played them 6 times at home winning 2 and losing 4 including the last 3, we last beat them in 1967 completing a 2-1 double that season. Our other home victory was in 1965 when he hammered them 4-0 in the season in the top flight. Bolton are in good form winning 6, drawing 1 and losing 1 of their last 8 games. They are the divisions 4th highest scorers with Dion Charles bagging 13 (17 in all competitions) and Victor Adeboyejo 8. They also have the best defensive record and in their 13 away games have only conceded 9 goals with 7 clean sheets while scoring 21 (only 3 games scoring more than 2). They have won 8, drawn 2 (Burton, Oxford) and lost 3 (Reading, Portsmouth, Leyton Orient) and they rate their 'keeper as the best in the division.

Our referee is Jeremy Simpson who has not been very active this season with no games during November, December or January. In 12 games he has issued 50 yellows, 2 reds and awarded 1 penalty and 7 of his games were in the Championship. In his first 10 games he issued 31 yellows but 19 in the last 2, last Saturday in his first game back in the Burton v Lincoln game he produced 11 yellows (8 to Burton) and 1 red.

Given our awful record against the top 6, Bolton's current form, their meagre defence and Hoskins likely to be missing (presumably replaced by Appere) it is difficult to be optimistic about this game. After last week JB may return to a back 4 but it is unlikely that Sherring will start and if neither McWilliams or Sowerby are back in midfield Fox could start but won't last the 90 minutes or we may see Gape for the first time. Should be well over 7000 in attendance who will be hoping for a vast improvement on the last 2 games.
Not necessary really. Stretching the adverb there...if not Sixfields' meagre capacity!  Tongue
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« Reply #13 on: February 08, 2024, 13:57:41 pm »


Preview from the Bolton perspective;


Funny old season for a funny old club.

Ever since joining the newly-incorporated Third Division (South) in 1920 they've pretty much always been lower-league stalwarts - barring a notable, remarkable and literally execeptional 1960s dash from the Fourth Division to the First (three promotions in five seasons) and back again (three relegations in four).

Since then they've largely shied away from finishing above mid-table in the the third tier, and have often bounced between the bottom two - six promotions and five subsequent relegations since 1996, including three ups and two downs since 2016 – that particular triumph under an emerging Chris Wilder.

The pattern has continued under their current boss, Jon Brady. Who he? Fair question. An Aussie who played nearly 300 Conference games for various sides, he went into Noethampton's youth setup and took over aged 46 in early 2021. He couldn't stop them being relegated that year, and the following year Northampton were denied automatic promotion by Bristol Rovers hammering Sc***horpe 7-0 (two from Aaron Collins) before flopping in the playoffs. Came up last year instead, in third place.

This season's been down and up, too. Nine losses in their first 15, culminating in a 4-0 slapping at Derby, left them only above the relegation zone on goal difference – but 7 wins in the next 10 moved them up to 9th and earned Brady a renewed contract. Five of those wins were at home. They've slipped a bit since to 11th, but you get the feeling that would be fine.

And they do seem to have a ceiling. In eight games against the current top six they've lost seven – including solid defeats to Pompey (3-0 and last Saturday's 4-1), Derby (4-0) and Stevenage (3-0) - so it seems like an early Wanderers goal *should* see us assume control. The one exception to their losses against the division's bigger boys was amusing for us: in the last minute of the Nene derby at home to Peterborough, Mitch Pinnock's hit-and-hope 35-yard whack goalwards was bundled over his own line by keeper Nicholas Bilakopic. See 1'49" below for a chuckle.



Pinnock punts aside, their lead scorer is, for the fourth consecutive season, Sam Hoskins - with whom we were once linked. Since 2021/22 he's bagged 13, 22 and 14-so-far... but he went off at Pompey last weekend with a hamstring injury so let's see if he appears.

For that game, Brady tried a back three which clearly didn't work. He has usually preferred a back four, although he has switched quite often between a back three and back four.

Although they've scored 8 goals from set pieces, they're very far from reliant on them. Indeed, they have the division's lowest ratio of xG from set pieces compared to the total (we're third-lowest, and have scored 10 that way - only six teams have scored more thusly). On the flip, we have the highest ratio of xG conceded from set plays to the total, so they might work on something.

Style-wise they're pretty typical for the division – neither savagely vertical nor simperingly horizontal and averaging a very typical number of passes per move. They're lower mid-table for the PPDA pressing statistic that we easily top – but they've picked their moments wisely: their high-turnover total of 204 is just one fewer than us, and those turnovers have ended in 35 shots compared to our 28, although we'e bagged 5 goals from such steals compared to their 4.

They haven't played at the county cricket ground since 1994 but Sixfields is a bit odd in itself. Built on a former tip prone to subsidence, it's loomed over by a 400ft concrete lift-testing tower, and since 2014 it's had a half-finished East Stand (to the visitors' right). It will always remind me of my utter confidence, during Parky's first season, that once we scored we'd win. The same should apply this weekend, really. Certainly bigger tasks await, but this will require a professional tidy-up job.
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west stand oap
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« Reply #14 on: February 08, 2024, 14:14:28 pm »

Correction to my previous post, the 4-0 home win was not in our season in the top flight but the previous season when we won promotion.
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« Reply #15 on: February 08, 2024, 14:46:31 pm »

I think that this week we need to change as bit and make it more difficult for the opposition to score, unlike the last 2 weeks. With the players we have available I would go
 4-3 - 1 -2 with something loke this
 
                                                                                Burge/Moulden
               Lintott                           Monthe                                           Guthrie                Brough
       
                                 Willis                                              Gape                    Pinnock

                                                                                    Leonard

                                                                  Simpson                                       Bowie

This is assuming that McGowen, Sherring, Sowerby, McWilliams and Hoskins are all unavailable. Not been sure about Burge at all this season, but is this week the right time to try Moulden?
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Peter Frost
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« Reply #16 on: February 08, 2024, 14:49:07 pm »

Reasonable summary from Bolton - I have a mate up their and he largely thinks the same but is actually a bit cautious re our performance both against them and the other top teams knowing that trend occasionally does get  broken
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« Reply #17 on: February 08, 2024, 15:02:23 pm »

I think that this week we need to change as bit and make it more difficult for the opposition to score, unlike the last 2 weeks. With the players we have available I would go
 4-3 - 1 -2 with something loke this
 
                                                                                Burge/Moulden
               Lintott                           Monthe                                           Guthrie                Brough
       
                                 Willis                                              Gape                    Pinnock

                                                                                    Leonard

                                                                  Simpson                                       Bowie

This is assuming that McGowen, Sherring, Sowerby, McWilliams and Hoskins are all unavailable. Not been sure about Burge at all this season, but is this week the right time to try Moulden?

Everyone is entitled to their own opinions but going with a midfield 3 of Gape who hasnt played in months, Willis who has never played in CM in his career and Pinnock seems like a sure fire way to not make us harder to beat.
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« Reply #18 on: February 08, 2024, 15:36:16 pm »

Sherring hasn't trained all week so won't even be in the squad
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« Reply #19 on: February 08, 2024, 16:48:26 pm »

Least confident I’ve been for a game all season, 5 at the back kills us & never works.


            Burge

Willis  Monthe Guthrie brough

              Gape

Pinnock             Bowie
            Leonard
      Appere Simpson

Think Willis has played RB back, may be wrong.

Do I think that team will win, probably not but have to try something.
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