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Underachieving

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Welly Cobb
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« on: June 28, 2011, 17:15:28 pm »

Interesting analysis here about teams attendances and their relative success.

http://www.fansnetwork.co.uk/football/colchesterunited/fb_news.php?storyid=12953&title=punching_above_our_weight

The Article is written from Colchester United perspective, regarding their constant overacheivement in League 1 (and the expecations that have risen from their supporters because of it.

Interesting bit is this bit below - a table that relates final position within the football league structure with attendances within the football league structure.
As you may imagine after last year, on a table with an attendance-to-success ratio, we are currently not doing very well. In fact, you could argue that our underacheivement is very similar to Leeds United and Sheffield United's current underachievement.

Club    Ave. Att.    Att. Rank    Lg. Pos.    Pos v Att    PaW Rank
Rochdale    3,537    78    53    25    1
Hartlepool United    2,933    83    60    23    2
Dagenham    2,770    85    65    20    3
Colchester United    4,247    73    54    19    4
Accrington Stanley    1,868    91    73    18    5
Leyton Orient    4,582    69    51    18    5
Sc***horpe United    5,548    60    44    16    7
Millwall    12,439    44    29    15    8
Swansea City    15,507    38    23    15    8
QPR    15,635    36    21    15    8
Blackpool    15,775    34    19    15    8
Wigan Athletic    16,812    31    16    15    8
Yeovil Town    4,291    72    58    14    13
Torquay United    2,631    87    75    12    14
Walsall    3,846    76    64    12    14
Brentford    5,172    67    55    12    14
Burnley    14,931    40    28    12    14
Exeter City    5,393    63    52    11    18
Stevenage    2,899    84    74    10    19
Bury    3,313    80    70    10    19
Oldham    4,392    71    61    10    19
Carlisle United    5,207    66    56    10    19
Bolton    22,870    24    14    10    19
Fulham    25,043    18    8    10    19
Macclesfield Town    1,816    92    83    9    25
Peterborough    6,450    57    48    9    25
Watford    13,152    43    34    9    25
West Brom    24,683    20    11    9    25
Barnsley    11,855    45    37    8    29
Aldershot Town    2,488    89    82    7    30
Brighton    7,352    52    45    7    30
Doncaster Rovers    10,258    48    41    7    30
Bristol City    14,605    41    35    6    33
Reading    17,682    30    25    5    34
Tottenham Hotspur    35,704    10    5    5    34
AFC Bournemouth    7,103    54    50    4    36
Preston North End    11,768    46    42    4    36
Blackburn Rovers    25,000    19    15    4    36
Chelsea    41,435    6    2    4    36
Everton    36,039    9    7    2    40
MK Mongs    8,512    50    49    1    41
Middlesbrough    16,269    33    32    1    41
Stoke City    26,858    14    13    1    41
Man City    45,905    4    3    1    41
Barnet    2,250    90    90    0    45
Rotherham    3,667    77    77    0    45
Tranmere Rovers    5,467    62    62    0    45
Man Utd    75,109    1    1    0    45
Hereford United    2,516    88    89    -1    49
Wycombe    4,495    70    71    -1    49
Crystal Palace    15,351    39    40    -1    49
Portsmouth    15,707    35    36    -1    49
Cardiff    23,194    23    24    -1    49
Aston Villa    37,194    8    9    -1    49
Liverpool    42,820    5    6    -1    49
Morecambe    2,648    86    88    -2    56
Birmingham    25,462    16    18    -2    56
Arsenal    60,025    2    4    -2    56
Crewe    4,119    75    78    -3    59
Sunderland    40,011    7    10    -3    59
Cheltenham Town    2,980    81    85    -4    61
Nottingham Forest    23,275    22    26    -4    61
Burton Albion    2,948    82    87    -5    63
Huddersfield Town    13,733    42    47    -5    63
Ipswich Town    19,615    28    33    -5    63
Hull City    21,169    26    31    -5    63
Norwich City    25,386    17    22    -5    63
Wolves    27,925    12    17    -5    63
Coventry City    16,310    32    38    -6    69
Notts County    6,585    56    63    -7    70
Bristol Rovers    6,253    58    66    -8    71
Leicester City    23,666    21    30    -9    72
West Ham    33,492    11    20    -9    72
Newcastle United    47,718    3    12    -9    72
Gillingham    5,231    65    76    -11    75
Lincoln    3,508    79    91    -12    76
Shrewsbury Town    5,876    59    72    -13    77
Chesterfield    6,972    55    69    -14    78
Leeds    27,299    13    27    -14    78
Northampton Town    4,605    68    84    -16    80
Sheff United    20,632    27    43    -16    80
Southend United    5,274    64    81    -17    82
Swindon    8,458    51    68    -17    82
Stockport County    4,163    74    92    -18    84
Port Vale    5,533    61    79    -18    84
Plymouth Argyle    8,613    49    67    -18    84
Charlton Athletic    15,582    37    57    -20    87
Southampton    22,161    25    46    -21    88
Derby    26,023    15    39    -24    89
Oxford    7,277    53    80    -27    90
Sheff Wed    17,821    29    59    -30    91
Bradford City    11,128    47    86    -39    92

This isn't factoring in, of course, that the teams who are punching below their weight are likely to gain supporters if the current plight is reversed, while the teams that are punching above their weight are likely to lose some if the succes dries up.

Incidentally, if we were to punch at our weight we should be the right on the boundaries of League 2 and League 1. We finished 16th in League 2, and we have should potentially be aiming to be at least 16 places higher. So absoultely no reason why NTFC's target should not be Automatic promotion from League 2 next year. We have the resources, so let's hope we stop punching below our weight.
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Artlenock Cobbler
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« Reply #1 on: June 28, 2011, 18:43:53 pm »

I love how our friends down the M1 are listed Grin
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« Reply #2 on: June 28, 2011, 20:18:11 pm »

I was just gonna post this!...Difficult to figure out where you want to be in these leagues..after a few ales, I'd imagine!  Grin
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Montgomery Eypoke III
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« Reply #3 on: June 28, 2011, 20:24:26 pm »

So the Cobblers underachieved last season?

No sh*t sherlock.

We are a bottom of League one / top of League two team?

Again, shock!!
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Razor
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« Reply #4 on: June 29, 2011, 11:22:57 am »

According to that table Chesterfield underachieved and they won the fookin league Roll Eyes
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« Reply #5 on: June 29, 2011, 17:13:21 pm »

Man U are in 45th place? Difficult to see how they can improve.
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Enya_NTFC
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« Reply #6 on: June 29, 2011, 17:14:41 pm »

Man U are in 45th place? Difficult to see how they can improve.

Get rid of Fergie...that would improve them massively  Grin
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« Reply #7 on: June 29, 2011, 20:37:26 pm »

For the above posters...it's all related to attendances..fer fook sake sherlocks!  Roll Eyes
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