Oh dear Milky Milky, but I have never been know to be wrong in all my life
...
Seriously though, I have followed these threads on here over several years when we have had the threat of relegation hanging over us and the safety figures suggested by most posters is usually too high. I am going from memory however!
I have always found, once there has been a significant number of game played, that the current points per game calculation is a more accurate forecast than using previous seasons figures.
As you say we will have to wait and see and I
suspect if any of us will care if we are right or wrong as long as we survive!