Firstly I appreciate your detailed analysis and largely agree with your findings. Provided Brady and his team maintain the current progress to the end of season with commendable efforts made by all concerned to retain our place in League 1 then he deserves a contract.
I think your opinion in the last three paragraphs sees a casual introduction of 'if' and the assumptions follow. You give a possible 48pts after 43 games which to most on here would indeed be a far better situation than which we now face? Your analysis by defining the merits of the Brady Team clearly favours the selection of Jon Brady as Manager; this is I think is entirely understandable. In arriving at a 48pt after 43 games by definition this would be a far far better situation?
I hope Team Brady achieves the almost impossible and win 4 games on the trot and secure possible survival in League 1. Who wouldn't?
I agree that aggregating the points totals for both managers is in no way an exact science but my intention was to shine light over the two managers' records and give an idea whereabouts we might be now if either had been given all season. Clearly everyone will have their own opinions on which manager is right for the club (including external options) but I felt it was necessary to put the stats plainly for all to see their records and generate discussion. James Heneghan's put a Chron article out today which states that we are the 16th best side in League One since Brady's arrival, which is also useful I feel -
https://www.northamptonchron.co.uk/sport/football/brady-is-putting-himself-in-the-frame-for-the-full-time-job-at-cobblers-3210288I cannot deny that I am very much of the opinion that Brady is the right man for the job, and I'm pleased to see that he is at least on the right path to convincing you!