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Data Based Approach

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bungle
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« Reply #40 on: May 21, 2021, 18:16:22 pm »

My take on data, for what it's worth:

A lot of lower league managers like Curle still recruit in a very subjective, 'gut instinct' way based on watching a player a few times and getting a sense of their 'character'.

As I've said before, the signing of Harry Smith is a prime example of why this approach can go wrong. Curle sees him have a dominant performance against us, takes in his 6ft 5' height and build, looks at his 9 goals for struggling Macclesfield and concludes that he's the answer to our target man problem. Perhaps, if was feeling particularly rigorous, he got Tracey to go scout him a couple of times and those scouting missions happened to coincide with Harry scoring.

If we had a decent data analyst I don't think we would have signed him. Why? Because the data would have shown a low number of 'aerial duals' won, a low hold-up to lay-off ratio and a low percentage of goals scored from crosses (our primary means of creating chances at the time). The chariman/D.O.F could then quite reasonably have vetoed the transfer and guided Curle to other targets due to the lack of a convincing data-based case for his recruitment.

Data-based recruitment isn't full-proof by any means but there's a reason why all the top clubs invest in it: it stops managers being blinded by subjective judgements.






« Last Edit: May 21, 2021, 18:18:25 pm by bungle » Report Spam   Logged
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